DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. At least not for starting pitchers. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. Price (155 wins) is the only active pitcher within 30 wins of Wainwright, with Cueto (135) and Bumgarner (127) much further behind. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Velocity? He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Let's take a look at Flaherty. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. Were not sure if hell be ready by Opening Day, but at this point our priority is to take care of this now so we can have him available for virtually the entire season. I found by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. . Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. Please logout and login again. ago. Your email address will not be published. This doesnt mean that Wainwright definitely deserves to make itTim Hudson, who barely qualified for a second turn on the BBWAA ballot and didnt receive the 5% of votes needed to qualify for a third, ranks ahead of him, for instance. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. NeverSober1900. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). An error has occurred while trying to update your details. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Drew move to Atlanta. Astros @ Cardinals. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. The Cardinals are calm. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). . A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. . Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. Rile people up.. 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Adam Wainwright. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. Your existing password has not been changed. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Injury? Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Flaherty is calm. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. Strikeouts are booming like never before. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. 5th stage: 60-day IL. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. . He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. We use cookies to improve your experience. Terms of Service. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. It happens a lot. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? 9 mo. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Sorry we could not verify that email address. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. Ad Choices No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Sure there are. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. Not an injury issue? Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. The best pitcher in MLB? We didn't recognize that password reset code. Decade-plus Eagles writer. Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. automatic slack adjuster adjustment, cadence containers dupe,
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