US Dept of Commerce The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. When Does It End? 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This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. Enter any city, zip or place. temperatures from Washington and northern . And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. Get more stories delivered right to your email. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. May climate data across southeast Arizona. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Questions? Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Weather in Phoenix in November 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. October climate data across southeast Arizona. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. 'A nice sign': Big Rockies snowpack may boost Lake Mead Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast | OpenSnow As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Old Farmer's Almanac predicts cold 2021-2022 winter weather in US We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. Scottsdale, Arizona Weather Forecast | AerisWeather The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. Mostly cloudy. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. The periodical says it. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). Here was the tweet the office issued. First 2022 Seasonal LONG RANGE Winter Forecasts from NOAA The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . Could La Nia bring another dry AZ winter, worsening drought? - KNXV Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. In a couple of words: its nice! Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Phoenix, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. All rights reserved. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states.